Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 15.830539 17.927625 20.275457 23.113381 26.470120 30.337856 35.166102
2025-09-21 12.386878 14.893421 17.923829 21.904037 27.064081 33.626494 42.766733
2025-09-28 10.588071 13.239157 16.611958 21.300311 27.783626 36.642908 50.048129
2025-10-05 10.483183 13.621651 17.821785 24.006370 33.153699 46.654114 69.050976
2025-10-12 9.831227 13.152935 17.774324 24.893341 36.006108 53.481630 84.837965
2025-10-19 8.853504 12.102780 16.755869 24.172386 36.240052 56.188057 94.324043
2025-10-26 8.430531 11.791111 16.754502 24.963625 38.946168 63.393714 113.684807
2025-11-02 7.803406 11.108984 16.110088 24.626768 39.675491 67.223262 127.488600
2025-11-09 7.239386 10.468521 15.459553 24.185009 40.126304 70.574395 141.182760
2025-11-16 6.778797 9.947426 14.944701 23.902178 40.803223 74.456759 157.194611
2025-11-23 6.298907 9.357053 14.262253 23.242448 40.659583 76.616298 169.715391
2025-11-30 5.964101 8.974498 13.890053 23.094111 41.482974 80.973599 189.305367
2025-12-07 5.483783 8.335744 13.058702 22.062089 40.484383 81.339883 198.935473
2025-12-14 5.033013 7.718611 12.221412 20.942106 39.169283 80.780631 205.951107
2025-12-21 4.712913 7.299845 11.697987 20.370088 38.941072 82.781038 221.680419
2025-12-28 4.882197 7.725699 12.708080 22.926017 46.021486 104.849393 315.384156
2026-01-04 4.789715 7.686268 12.863408 23.762787 49.317727 117.941947 386.163446
2026-01-11 4.509553 7.294021 12.327057 23.082667 48.838736 120.176320 414.185091
2026-01-18 4.425408 7.249405 12.447373 23.829075 52.047744 134.351004 505.874380
2026-01-25 4.223300 6.975887 12.102994 23.511348 52.459356 139.901141 560.526806
2026-02-01 4.025144 6.698336 11.731259 23.094577 52.546680 144.448879 614.023948
2026-02-08 3.857052 6.467729 11.437315 22.827685 53.008425 150.460612 681.853190
2026-02-15 3.663727 6.179325 11.008310 22.204949 52.382732 152.466340 727.334268